It's actually showing "estimated actual generation", but is shortened in the header at the top.
I assume it is what solcast thought you would have generated based on the actual live solar forecast.
Obviously things are never perfect, for example shading could be an issue (buildings, trees, etc) which solcast can't account for.
Plus if the details in solcast aren't quite right, then the estimates will be out - for example is the location 100% correct? Is the angle of the house 100% correct? Is the pitch of the roof 100% correct.
Then maybe heat can be a factor, panels may have degraded performance in hot weather. But different makes of panels, ages of panels and roof mounting systems (e.g. on top of roof or in roof?) could all mean a slightly different impact on generation for the same weather.